Saturday, September 29, 2007

Marathon stats: Part one

This information below is presented in conjunction with my "Guess my marathon time" contest. Click the link for more information on the contest, including prize info.

To enter for prizes, go to my Firstgiving page and make a donation of at least $2.62. Then make your marathon guess by posting a comment here, or emailing me, your guess in hours, minutes, and seconds: (H:MM:SS)

To enter for plain fun, just post your guess in the comments.

To assist with your guess, see below for some training and racing statistics. If needed, there's a link to a second page of stats. Good luck, and make sure to check out the list of prizes. All it takes is $2.62 to enter the prize pool.

Races:
I'm lightly raced this year, especially on roads. Only two recent races. The 4 mile was on a hot 80F day in direct sunlight. The 10 mile fared better weather: An overcast and drizzly morning that produced a nice result. For kicks, plug the 10 mile time into the McMillian calculator. It boggles my mind as to what it projects for my marathon time. See below for the list of my 2007 races:

  • 8/19 - Perfect 10 Mile (1:03:56) PR

  • 7/21 - Shot in the Dark 4M (25:01)

  • 6/16 - Mohican Trail 100 mile (21:16)

  • 5/6 - Flying Pig Marathon (3:08) PR

  • 4/14 - Bull Run Run 50M (8:17) PR

  • 3/5 - Youngstown Half (1:42)


  • 2006 was a far busier race year.

    My marathon goal:
    I've been training all summer with the same core group of people from my local running store. After the Mohican race, we jumped right into a 16 week training plan designed for Steamtown. Based on my training paces and the 10 mile race result, I think I have a good shot at a 7 minute pace, or 3:03:40 for the race. Let this be my goal, but I will be happy just not to blow up. Any PR will do. If not cautious, the Steamtown course is known to chew you up and spit you out with aching quads. All before the halfway point.

    With all the possibilities, I imagine I could post a result anywhere in the range of 3:00-3:20.


    Not enough data to make a guess? Click here for Marathon Stats: Part two.

    Entries are due by Saturday night. The race starts at 8am on Sunday morning.

    Go to my Firstgiving page to get started. $2.62 gets you into the prize pool. 100% of all donations go directly to the Fisher House.

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